Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.240256 0.272333 0.306579 0.345802 0.389423 0.436386 0.490711
2025-09-28 0.196140 0.238830 0.287279 0.346129 0.415461 0.494316 0.590551
2025-10-05 0.167925 0.217508 0.276806 0.352500 0.446062 0.557391 0.699307
2025-10-12 0.148141 0.202743 0.271137 0.362317 0.479798 0.625090 0.817256
2025-10-19 0.129830 0.186958 0.261624 0.365172 0.503664 0.680933 0.923156
2025-10-26 0.117251 0.176838 0.257769 0.374040 0.534785 0.746859 1.044995
2025-11-02 0.107192 0.168750 0.255369 0.383897 0.567003 0.815240 1.173194
2025-11-09 0.095320 0.156509 0.245636 0.382083 0.582159 0.860535 1.271735
2025-11-16 0.085558 0.146204 0.237470 0.381345 0.598049 0.906881 1.373277
2025-11-23 0.076943 0.136642 0.229338 0.379598 0.611733 0.950095 1.471767
2025-11-30 0.071727 0.131923 0.228075 0.387899 0.640474 1.016081 1.605872
2025-12-07 0.065374 0.124580 0.221891 0.387756 0.655861 1.062552 1.712772
2025-12-14 0.059529 0.117638 0.215967 0.387888 0.672168 1.112047 1.828089
2025-12-21 0.054337 0.111278 0.210408 0.388064 0.688339 1.161912 1.946159
2025-12-28 0.050807 0.107564 0.209012 0.395010 0.715766 1.230513 2.096354
2026-01-04 0.048194 0.105286 0.209894 0.405811 0.750052 1.311457 2.269475
2026-01-11 0.044723 0.100940 0.206622 0.408935 0.771282 1.371994 2.412188
2026-01-18 0.042455 0.098750 0.207102 0.418722 0.804393 1.453352 2.592020
2026-01-25 0.040501 0.096985 0.208196 0.429607 0.839874 1.540035 2.783988
2026-02-01 0.037210 0.092017 0.202654 0.427596 0.852017 1.587520 2.912051
2026-02-08 0.034359 0.087679 0.197959 0.426777 0.866095 1.638685 3.048091
2026-02-15 0.031658 0.083363 0.192917 0.424844 0.877839 1.686050 3.179189
2026-02-22 0.030241 0.081843 0.193497 0.434017 0.910786 1.772004 3.380361